斯坦福商业融资研究生院约书亚里赫教授始终对公共政策和经济学的交汇处感兴趣。2000年,波士顿地区本土将其工作作为伦敦高盛国际的副经济学家,以追求博士学位。在Massachusetts技术研究所,由屡获殊荣的经济学家詹姆斯·波尔巴(James Poterba),詹姆斯国家经济研究局主席,他已经关注了公共政策的大部分30年的职业生涯。“I really learned from Jim a very empirical approach to research that carries me through today,” says Rauh, 40, who taught at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and Northwestern University’s Kellogg School of Management before moving to Stanford in 2012. Rauh is best known for his work with former University of Chicago colleague Robert Novy-Marx; the two published a 2009 paper that asserted U.S. state-sponsored pension plans were underfunded by $3.2 trillion, not the $1 trillion the Pew Charitable Trusts was reporting. The main reason for the discrepancy: Rauh and Novy-Marx applied standard financial theory to the problem and calculated future liabilities employing the risk-free interest rate rather than the typical practice among states of using expected investment returns (about 8 percent at the time). Rauh’s latest research is even more troubling. In a working paper analyzing the pensions of ten U.S. cities from 2009 to 2013, the Stanford economist found that total unfunded liabilities had increased 40 percent, to $359 billion, despite a 75 percent increase in the S&P 500 index during the period and some pension benefit reforms. “The growth in unfunded liabilities needs to be halted,” Rauh says. His paper provides a “road map forward,” suggesting that cities consider structural changes including 401(k)-like retirement plans, pooled defined contribution and cash balance plans, and deferred annuity plans.
29.
Joshua Rauh.
金融教授
斯坦福大学商学院
去年:19
2014年养老金40