此内容来自:投资组合

发展贷款如何顺利,中国的区域紧张局势

一个类似亚洲开发银行的中国led贷款人可以帮助国家在南海统治后拯救面孔。

北京领导人应该转向基于资本市场的解决方案 - 而不是激进的军事扩张 - 解决与许多邻居的棘手的领土争端。中国最近的银行倡议,亚洲基础设施投资银行(AIIB),可能是中国的模板可以用来魅力回到亚洲首都领导人的心中。

中国长期以来,南海约有80%,将其与许多邻居的赔率降低。On July 12 an arbitration court in the Hague linked to the United Nations ruled that China had no basis for a historic claim of sovereignty over much of the busy trade route and had, in fact, breached the Philippines’ rights through various island-building exercises. Infuriated with the decision that was initiated by a court case brought by former Philippines president Benigno Aquino III, leaders in Beijing dismissed the decision and called the ruling by the arbitral tribunal in the Hague “a farce.”

On July 18 China’s Ministry of Defense announced it was closing off parts of the South China Sea for military exercises, right in the middle of a three-day visit to Beijing by the U.S. Navy’s top officer, Admiral John Richardson, who was there to discuss the South China Sea dispute and ways to increase interactions between the two militaries.

中国可能不想承认仲裁法院。尽管如此,它的裁决基于常识地提出了先例:南中国海属于所有亚洲国家,边境亚洲国家以及美国党的法律公约,中国是党的,明确适用。

很多是中国,其他亚洲国家甚至美国的股份,这巡逻该地区以保持其对全球贸易的安全。The root of the disputes is clearly economic, according to many Asian geopolitical experts, who note that although territorial in nature, numerous national claims arise from the desires of each of the neighboring states to extract resources in the deep ocean and seabeds surrounding the region’s thousands of islands. The waterways are widely thought to be rich in natural gas and marine resources, while also serving as major global shipping corridors.

然而,中国的领导人而不是咄咄逼人的胸部砰砰声,而是应考虑对危机的财务解决方案 - 他们不需要考虑太难以提出一个。事实上,他们可能已经有一个 - 而且可能是一种良好的措施,给他们一个像胜利者那样出来的优雅方式。

今年,北京的AIIB将正式开始贷款其1000亿美元的创始资本。AIIB,与上海的多边新开发银行和北京为基础丝绸之路基金,将为各种新兴市场提供超过2000亿美元的借款人开发基础设施。没有理由的中国不能引领亚洲邻国聚集在一起,形成一个多边贷方,可以为该地区海洋提供专门为资源提取提供融资。

这样一个机构假设,可以通过亚洲资源开发银行等名称来借给代表各自国家利益的区域公司。在现有的区域多边框架内,可以轻松谈判此类机构的股东结构和机制。

自2000年代初以来,该地区一直在一起解决纠纷和平竞争对手。十多年来,东南亚国家协会的十名成员已经定期讨论了中国,日本和韩国关于形成东亚自由贸易区。来自整个地区的领导人每年都有遇见 - 在被称为东盟+ 3分组的情况下 - 讨论形成区域贸易集团的可能性。没有理由在东南海洋争议中没有理由在东盟+ 3框架内处理,并且没有更好的方法,而不是考虑形成资源集中的贷款人作为解决亚洲主权纠纷的一种方式。

中国及其邻国都可以抵消创始资本,银行可以像企业实体一样努力,以便向亚洲的公司借款人提供融资。银行提出的利润可以在股东中分开,或者回到银行的储备,以帮助资助未来的贷款。

There is already evidence that a regional multilateral can promote peaceful development through finance: The Japan- and U.S.-led, Manila-based Asian Development Bank has been promoting a regional effort for development financing since 1966. No existing multilaterals, however, specialize in resource development. Asia is not short of capital and has the highest concentration of foreign exchange reserves in the world. Regional leaders coming together to form such an entity can easily pool funds to help the region wisely and sustainably develop its natural resources.

即使领导人无法立即解决南海的争端,他们对这些银行的形成的讨论将至少有助于建立一个区域Esprit de Corps,DeeScalate紧张局势,促进长期和平。这样的提案,如果最初被北京领导人提出,肯定会走向帮助中国赢得外交倡议和加强欧洲巨人的外交倡议和加强认可 - 并且不需要恐惧。

跟随艾伦成在推特上@ Acheng87

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