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Daily Agenda: Deflation Stalks the Markets

Commodities retreat on prospect of further central bank easing; Chinese manufacturing hits multiyear low; Barclays, Credit Suisse reach SEC settlement on dark pools; New Albion’s Brian Reynolds on the continuing credit boom.

购买发布为新的一周经理人指数报告摆今天早上开始放缓信号在中国和欧洲工业活动。石油,基本金属和商品为中心的货币涂在响应红为投资者准备迎接更多的对原材料需求减弱的迹象磁带。同时,在总主权债务收益率继续设置后的新纪录低点日本央行’s decision last Friday成为部署阴性率央行最新,表明新一轮危机后货币战争的可能性。

中国PMI命中三分年来的新低。今日统计局中国国家统计局公布的官方采购经理人指数数据,1月份的49.4的读数制造业活动显示下降。这标志着连续第六收缩,指数下降到的最低点三年。在财新麦盖提指数,它是由较小的私营公司得到的比官方措施,注册一个回调,用于在其今天发布的第11个连续告负的制造业。虽然工业部门在中国继续奋斗,服务业与国家统计局PMI表现良好的1月的53.5健康的扩展注册。

华尔街银行定居在暗池。周日,美国证券交易委员会(sec)nnounced a settlement with both London-based Barclays and Zurich-based Credit Suisse Group over allegations that both banks failed to sufficiently disclose how the private trading venues, commonly referred to as dark pools, that the banks managed were overseen. Under the terms opf the settlement, Barclays will make payments totaling $70 million while Credit Suisse will pay over $84 million.

美国消费者支出放缓。今日商务部公布个人消费支出数据表明,美国家庭支出12月份基本持平,尽管收入较高和较低的燃料成本。标题支出登记在0与共识经济学家估计0.1个百分点相比,当月%的增长,而个人收入指数水平期间与月上涨了0.3%。

雅培获取血液测试公司。In the latest acquisition announcement in the pharmaceutical sector, Chicago’s Abbott Laboratories on Monday announced an agreement to purchase Alere, based in Waltham, Massachusetts, in a transaction valued at over $5.5 billion. Alere produces blood screening products that can run multiple tests simultaneously.

投资组合透视:最好的月份曾经

一月是可怕的股票投资者。但是,养老基金创下了投票在1月份新增,新的资金分配给信贷。大部分资金尚未触及信贷市场,因此信贷热潮会,尽管一月份的修正坚持。

我们知道,如果股票投资者要恐慌,什么也不会阻止他们。在今年的第二天,与标普在2012年,我们写了股权情绪是如此糟糕,股市有可能一个月左右的斗争,如果1990年的区域将被突破下行,则有would likely be a panicky drop in stocks that would resemble September’s. We initially thought that would take stocks down to the mid-1800’s on the S&P, but subsequently revised that down to the 1800-1850 range, which is where the correction eventually worked down to.

我们认为,这一最新的修正,这7年的大牛市中所有的其他人一样,会仅仅是一个校正。股票投资者有一个很难相信,自2012年8月金融工程已推动本次股权牛市将持续,因此每个月,我们已经追踪每一个养老金投票支持信贷市场,我们可以找到。这些选票在很大程度上与信贷市场的成长对应。Worries among equity investors have been so high since the August panic that we’ve done this exercise twice a month since then, in order to illustrate that the credit boom is not about to end, and that our nation’s public pensions are in fact bringing in more money and allocating it to credit.

布赖恩·雷诺兹是首席市场策略的新合作伙伴维奇在纽约。