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欧洲至少有一个行业仍然很热:欧洲ETF

Inflows into European ETFs hit a record high in 2015 on recovery hopes and attractive valuations.

For European investors in exchange-traded funds, home is where the heart is.

Last year set a new record for inflows into Europe-domiciled ETFs, with investors pumping $82.2 billion into the sector, according to BlackRock, up a third from $61.8 billion in 2014. Although European equities have been hammered by the sell-off in global markets so far this year, inflows continued in January, albeit at a slower pace. European ETFs attracted $3 billion in the month, largely in equities, down from $9.7 billion in December,BlackRock数据显示。

Not only did Europeans invest more in ETFs last year, but they also put much more money into funds focused on their domestic markets. The iShares Euro Stoxx 50 UCITS ETF (DE), which tracks the 50 largest companies in developed euro zone countries, pulled in about $2.86 billion last year, more than ten times its inflows in 2014, when the big money went to ETFs focused on U.S. stocks.

“2014年,它是强势流入美国,但2015年绝对是欧洲人的一年,”伦敦贸易产品,EMEA,德意志资产管理,德国·交易产品,一手德意志银行(Deutsche Bank).

德意志是欧洲ETF市场的大型球员之一,对其基金的需求很大,专注于更广泛的欧元区和德国。这两条细分市场去年吸引了约45亿美元的流入,大约是2014年的五倍。

Mistry ascribes the interest to growing confidence in the euro zone’s economy. The European Central Bank launched its own quantitative easing program last year, buying €60 billion ($68 billion) worth of government bonds a month, and in December it cut its deposit rate into negative territory for the first time, even as theU.S. Federal Reserve was preparing for its first rate hikein nearly a decade.

“我们看到了很多可能一直持续超过美国的客户 - 他们正在调整他们的立场,以超重欧洲股票和债券,”剧烈说。

The growth in Europe mirrors a rising interest in ETFs worldwide. Global inflows last year hit $350.9 billion, also a record, according to BlackRock.

And it’s not just Europeans who are getting into Europe. U.S.-listed ETFs with exposure to Europe saw inflows of $35 billion last year, compared with just $6.7 billion in 2014.

European-oriented ETFs have two big attractions for American investors, contends Kevin Kelly, chief investment officer at Recon Capital Partners, a New York–based firm that runs ETFs focused on Germany’s DAX and the U.K.’s FTSE 100 index. The diverging monetary policies of the Fed and the ECB could bolster European equities, he says. In addition, some major European companies offer compelling valuations, he adds, noting that Germany’s Siemens currently trades at just under nine times earnings.

“这对美国投资者来看看这些市场并接触他们是很重要的,”凯莉说。

European ETFs that focus on the U.S. experienced a sharp drop in inflows last year. The iShares Core S&P 500 UCITS ETF and Vanguard S&P 500 UCITS ETF each attracted about $2.6 billion, down from $6.6 billion and $6.8 billion, respectively, in 2014.

However, those ETFs still rank among the largest in Europe. According to Deutsche Bank, the iShares and Vanguard funds remain the largest by assets, with more than $23 billion between them. This stands to reason, fund managers say, given the dominance of the U.S. in global markets.

“Even though there was a huge focus on European equities, I think broad-based U.S. equity exposure is a core holding for many investors in their portfolio,” says Philip Tychon, head of ETF capital markets atVanguard集团in London. “I think it’s natural to always see interest in that exposure.”

There has also been interest in other developed markets, such as Japan, where the central bank is conducting its own QE program, says Mistry. Economic turmoil saw funds flow out of a number of emerging markets, notably China, with investors pulling out of Deutsche’s Europe-listed ETFs that focus on that country.

“We definitely saw a lot of profit taking going on, and people just reducing their exposure because of uncertainties in China, but we also saw a similar story in other emerging markets, like Brazil and Russia,” he says.

It’s difficult to predict where funds will go in the coming months and years, but wealth managers are bullish on the growth of ETFs generally in Europe. David Hazelton, head of business development at Raymond James Investments Services in London, predicts that retail investors will follow in the footsteps of large institutions by increasing their holdings of ETFs.

“我没有看到任何放慢这种放缓的东西,”哈尔格里夫斯劳工队的被动投资负责人,基于布里斯托尔的经纪和咨询公司的被动投资主管Adam Laird说。ETF的普及“在欧洲增加了很多,但我们仍然在美国的落后,”他说。“我认为无疑会继续继续。”

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