IMF-World Bank: What's Behind the Chinese Withdrawal

中国消费者在过去的几周里开始抵制日本商品，对日本总理吉河··诺达的国民化的几个岛屿的国有化，位于冲绳和台湾。

但世界银行或国际货币基金组织的少数官员预计他们将被中国主要银行所抵制的是，因为他们正在举办今年在东京的年度国际货币基金组织会议上举办。

“我们被告知来自中国主要银行的代表正在取消，”基于东京的世界银行官员说，他们要求不通过名称确定。“中国人对日本生气。但我们不明白为什么他们正在抵制国际货币基金组织。“

中国和日本的领导人克服了几十年来看似不可逾越的差异，以建立世界上最强大的贸易关系。2011年双向贸易占3.45亿美元：自2009年以来，中国一直是日本最大的贸易伙伴，日本已成为中国的第四大。

但纠纷偶尔每次播出。几年前，前总理朱中志霍金省对靖国神社进行了访问，荣获日本战争的靖国神社，包括来自第二次世界大战的“一堂”战争罪犯，激怒了中国。

Japanese journalists who cover the prime minister say Noda underestimated the Chinese reaction when he ordered the government to purchase the islands from private Japanese owners. The nationalization was meant to preempt a move by Tokyo Governor Shintaro Ishihara, a right-wing, anti-China politician, to purchase them himself. Noda apparently feared a purchase by Ishihara would anger the Chinese even more.

The Japanese call them Senkaku, while the Chinese call them Diaoyu, and the dispute goes back to 1971 when the U.S. handed the islands back to Japan after administering them since the end of World War II. The roots of the dispute go back centuries to when the islands were part of Okinawa, which until the 1890s was an independent kingdom that was a protectorate of China.

Large repositories of oil and gas were discovered around the islands in 1969 but talks of joint exploration never materialized.

几十年来，中日之间存在领土纠纷，但他们总是发挥第二个小提琴，以普遍的经济利益。当1972年遇到他的中国同行时，凯瑟里·塔卡卡在1972年遇到了他的中国同行，双方同意搁置这个问题，而不是使其成为重建外交关系的障碍。

But Chinese officials say things are different this time as Chinese President Hu Jintao personally felt slighted: Noda’s nationalization move came just one day after he assured Hu on the sidelines of the recently held Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in Vladivostok in early September that he would handle the island dispute to the satisfaction of both sides.

“No one expected Noda would nationalize the disputed islands,” says Liu Mingle, a Beijing-based political commentator. “The islands were owned by private Japanese investor. If they were sold to another investor, China wouldn’t be so angry. But to nationalize the islands, it becomes a sovereign territorial issue.”

Japanese officials will not back down from the nationalization move, says a Tokyo-based correspondent who covers the Japan Defense Agency and asked not to be identified by name. “It is now a matter of face,” the correspondent says. “Prime Minister Noda underestimated the angry reaction in China, but he will not back down now.”

国际货币基金组织总裁克里斯蒂娜•拉加德(Christine Lagarde)调用on both sides to cool down. The shaky global economy needs Japan, the world’s third-largest economy, and China, the second-largest economy, to be fully engaged, the head of the IMF said recently to Japanese news media, warning the world could not afford for the two countries to be distracted by their bitter territorial row.

上周与日本媒体发言，拉加德表示，两种经济动力驻地为全世界的利益表达了一些睦邻宽容。

“Both China and Japan are key economic drivers that do not want to be distracted by territorial division,” Kyodo News agency quoted Lagarde as telling reporters in Washington ahead of this week’s meeting in Tokyo. “The current status of the economy and the global economy needs both Japan and China fully engaged.”

China and Japan must go back to focus on their common economic interests and negotiate a peaceful settlement of the dispute, including co-development of the oil and gas reserves surrounding the islands, says Beijing-based political analyst Liu. “That is the only solution,” says Liu. “Otherwise, trade tensions will only escalate from here on out.”

A sign of potential conflict occurred earlier this month, when Taiwan — which Beijing considers a breakaway province — decided in an unprecedented move to side with China, sending coast guard frigates and a fishing fleet into the dispute area, leading to a water cannon duel between them and Japanese coast guard vessels.

Watching from nearby was a squadron of Chinese coast guard frigates and a fleet of fishing vessels. “Neither China nor Japan can afford an escalation of this dispute into a full-blown crisis,” says Liu. “Everybody stands to lose.”