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2017年LATAM研究团队

在各卖方公司削减成本和裁员之后,该行在今年的拉丁美洲研究分析师排名中升至榜首。

    摩根大通(JPMorgan Chase&Co.)是拉丁美洲研究领域的顶级提供商亚博赞助欧冠2017年对该地区最畅销分析师的调查。

    这家银行在银行业的改组中名列第一摩根大通(JPMorgan)和排名第二的美国银行(bankofamericacorp.)击败了去年的冠军Itaú 工商管理学士。BTG合同ú 第三名是BBA。

    此前,投资银行和经纪商被迫削减研究工作,因为数年的政治动荡、经济放缓和货币贬值使该地区的商业环境艰难。

    “We are constantly on our heels, trying to detect changes faster and measure with precision their final impact on stocks,” said Pedro Leduc, a senior food sector analyst at JPMorgan. “We like to serve our clients with both fresh information and frequent new investment ideas.”

    JPMorgan, which last year tied for second with Bank of America Merrill Lynch, clinched the No. 1 spot by scoring in 25 of 39 categories in II’s survey of buy-side analysts and money managers. The bank’s research teams were rated the best in cement and construction, food and beverages, and non-bank financial sectors.

    【二】深潜:Ita公司ú BBA是2016拉丁美洲研究团队的第一名]

    今年拉丁美洲最佳研究团队的名单还有其他变化。瑞银集团从第7位升至第5位,与瑞士信贷集团(Credit Suisse Group)互换了排名。桑坦德上升了两位,排名第六,摩根士丹利则从第六位跌至第九位。

    在调查中得到认可的分析师表示,该行业正在裁员,同时看到了“年轻化”的转变,即公司正在减少资深分析师,转而聘用更廉价、经验更少的员工。排名最高的公司表示,他们优先考虑保持优秀团队的完整性,包括美银美林(bankofamerica-Merrill-Lynch)的毛里西奥•费尔南德斯(Mauricio Fernandes)在内的分析师表示,这一努力是其成功的驱动力。

    “投资者倾向于认为我们的更多senior teams on the street,” Fernandes said. “It’s important that you have seasoned analysts – that makes a difference for clients.”

    当被问及他们的登顶之路时,摩根大通分析师称赞了他们xinyabo体育app 的广度和深度,莱杜克指出了职业道德的重要性,该公司拉丁美洲财务主管多明戈斯·法拉维纳(Domingos Falavina)指出了他的xinyabo体育app 团队的“整体”方法。

    Thiago Duarte, who was honored this year for his team’s coverage of agribusiness and food and beverages at BTG Pactual, noted the firm’s depth of experience as a key strength.

    他说:“我们关心我们的工作质量,我们在这方面进行了投资,因此我们的团队中确实有很多经验丰富的分析师,他们对行业有很深的了解,我们会照顾他们,以便他们能与我们并肩作战,与团队一起努力工作。”。

    Although market conditions have made downsizing a necessity for most firms, many of the top-ranking analysts were upbeat about current market prospects.

    摩根大通(JP Morgan)拉美股票xinyabo体育app 主管佩德罗•马丁斯(Pedro Martins)强调,强劲的盈利增长是对地区股市兴趣的驱动力,并指出智利的投资前景特别乐观。

    马丁斯说,拉丁美洲国家已经从持续不断的现金“大量流入”新兴市场中获益——BTG Pactual的阿隆索·阿兰布鲁(Alonso Aramburu)也有这样的看法,他补充说,随着当地政客帮助建立更为商业友好的政府,他看到投资者重返拉丁美洲。

    阿拉姆布鲁说:“另一个主要贡献者已经度过了美元走强、货币贬值以及经济从增长放缓中调整的时期。”。

    Aramburu主要关注智利、阿根廷、秘鲁和哥伦比亚,他说,南美洲大多数国家都处在经济周期的底部,并准备在不久的将来实现更好的增长。

    他举例说,哥伦比亚“一直很不受投资者的青睐”,但在未来两三年里,它显示出良好的增长前景。不过,摩根大通(JPMorgan)的马丁斯(Martins)表示,投资者有理由保持谨慎。他警告称,疲软的油价将继续导致该国宏观经济前景“黯淡”。

    与此同时,巴西显示出复苏迹象,BTG Pactual的Duarte说,巴西的前景取决于即将举行的选举结果,以及巴西政府能否解决关键的经济政策问题。

    Carlos Capistran, who covers Mexico for Bank of America Merrill Lynch, said the country’s economy has been “very resilient and has been growing above expectations.” Although investors may have been concerned at the start of the year about U.S. President Donald Trump’s potentially harmful campaign promises – such as the proposal that Mexico pay for a border wall – new policies have not yet materialized and investor sentiment remains positive, according to Capistran’s colleague Fernandes.

    不过,卡皮斯特兰说,由于财政和货币政策收紧,以及围绕北美自由贸易协定重新谈判和2018年选举进程的不确定性,墨西哥经济增长可能会减速。

    “Tighter fiscal and monetary policies are helping the country to deal with several negative external shocks such as lower oil prices and oil production as well as higher short-term interest rates in the U.S.,” Capistran said. “But tightening is not a free lunch and will have impact in terms of growth later this year and next.”