投资新兴市场的主要目的是获取增长。当美国和欧洲陷入低速,以每年大约0 - 2%的速度提振GDP时,世界上的发展中市场却以5% - 7%甚至更多的速度前进。ETF和共同基金开发商indexxiq的创始人兼首席执行官亚当•帕蒂(Adam Patti)表示,对于新兴市场投资者来说,最大的讽刺在于,他们可能会错过这种增长。曾担任时代公司(Time Inc .)财富指数基金负责人的帕蒂说,许多新兴市场基金面向的是总部设在美国的出口导向型跨国公司以及大型金融和能源公司。虽然这些策略肯定与新兴市场对原材料和成品的需求增长有关,但“它们不一定能抓住新兴市场本身的国内增长。”考虑到这一点,纽约Rye Brook的IndexIQ最近推出了新兴市场中型股基金(Emerging Markets Mid - Cap Fund),交易代码为EMER,主要面向南非、韩国和台湾等经济体的中型股公司。该基金瞄准的是消费市场、医疗保健和工业等行业,这些行业将直接受益于国内市场的增长,在国内,新兴中产阶级正在崛起。通过关注市值在75 - 85百分位的中市值公司,Patti希望也能找到好的价值。中盘股的表现往往优于小盘股和大盘股。新兴市场的经济重要性正迅速超越发达国家。 Morgan Stanley said earlier this year that emerging markets such as China, Brazil and India already account for 37 percent of global GDP, and that their share will rise to 49 percent in 2020 and 59 percent in 2030. For the most part, portfolios are still geared toward the not-so-distant past, when emerging markets played a small role in portfolio construction, adding a bit of growth and diversity. In those days, the rule of thumb was to allocate 5 percent to 10 percent of assets to emerging markets, Patti says. He says the allocation today should be much higher, in keeping with the role of emerging markets in global GDP. “I don’t know if I would say that 40 percent is the right allocation. But 20 percent might be a good guideline,” Patti says.
在信贷危机重创美国和欧洲之际,新兴市场的表现优于发达市场。去年秋天,随着美国和欧洲显示出复苏迹象,中国等新兴市场开始采取措施控制通胀,这种情况发生了转变。现在,美国的复苏似乎再次放缓,帕蒂说,向新兴市场的转移可能是时候了。