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私募股权如何成为测试版

所有数字都指向私募股权和风险投资达到高峰。据麦肯锡称,这不是因为许多人认为的原因。

机构曾投资私募股权,以获得比其他资产课程更高的回报,以及持续表现的持续性等。但是,养老金,禀赋和其他机构现在正在分配增加的私人市场,因为据麦肯锡和股本报告预计将于周五公布。

亚博赞助欧冠机构投资者“使用分配给PE的三个原因:比较公共市场的表现优惠,预测性,因为顶部四分位数管理者的强劲持久性,并且PE相当不相关的信念,”麦肯锡和作者之一的合伙人“布莱斯克勒姆普纳说报告。

“不相关是一个偏爱的神话,”他继续。“表现形态和持久性的程度下降但尚未消失。投资者来看PE仍然是仍然有效的理由。但是,现在还有另一个原因在于曝光的资产类别。“私人股权公司的数量自10年前自从10年前推了一倍,Klempner指出,公开交易公司的数量是20年前的一半。如果他们希望接触增长公司,因此,无论他们是否可以选择顶级管理人员,那么“机构需要私募股权。”

[II深潜:私募股权改变了一切]

据麦肯锡报道,私募股权仍然有可能表现出优于优势,但投资者选择顶级管理人员并不容易。

“Although persistency of outperformance by PE firms has declined over time, making it harder to consistently predict winners, new academic research suggests that greater persistency may be found at the level of individual deal partners,” the report’s authors wrote. “In buyouts, the deal decision-maker is about four times as predictive as the PE firm in explaining differences in performance.” However, the McKinsey report stressed that it is difficult for institutions to make funding decisions based on individuals.

“大多数LPS认为他们高于挑选获奖者的平均水平,”Klempner说。“但其中只有一半可以击败中位数。”因此,许多投资者的性能期望可能太高。

Klempner解释说,投资者对广泛的私募股权接触的需求是推动筹款和其他指标的记录。

Assets in private markets increased by $700 billion in 2019, and $4 trillion over the past decade, according to McKinsey. The number of private equity firms grew in tandem, more than doubling during the time period. Meanwhile, the number of private equity-backed companies in the U.S. increased by 60 percent, according to the consulting firm.

筹款也很强大。麦肯锡报道说,到2019年底,该行业已筹集了91.9亿美元,比2018年集中在一起。尽管如此,根据该报告,2019年是筹款的第二次最好的一年。咨询公司预计2020年将成为另一个健康的筹款年度,因为大型私募股权公司表示,他们瞄准了约3500亿美元的总摄入量。

干粉或现金携手投资,也达到去年的记录。2019年上半年,未取消的资本达到2.3万亿美元,比前一年的价格从2.1万亿美元起。

Kempner在整体上符合行业的增长,符合筹款和干粉。

“干粉不仅仅是一只粉末越来越大,”Kempner说。“这是库存。当你是一个小企业时,你需要比你更大的时间更少。因此,您可以在手头上进行多少年的资本。如果它为零,该行业不会有雨天的钱。那就是你可以买低的时候。“

According to the report, dry powder is at a “record in absolute terms, though the roughly two ‘turns’ of annual deal volume that this represents is within the range of historical norms.”

While institutional investors are allocating more to private equity and venture capital, McKinsey said that, compared to targets, investors are under-allocated by more than $500 billion in private equity alone.

私人市场基金的规模正在增长以及资产的数量。谈到买断基金时,2019年提出的一半的一半是由50亿美元或更长时间的资金被拉入的。较小资金的市场份额,低于10亿美元,也是十五年的低位。

然而矛盾的是几乎没有任何的证据consolidation at the top of the industry,” the report found. “And even as the number of active PE firms continues to grow (it’s now nearly 7,000), more managers are calling it quits than ever. Most of those raised just one fund, suggesting that attrition is mainly a result of one-and-done managers.”

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